For the U.S. population to replace itself, the birth rate must equal 2.1 births per year per 1,000 women.
Let’s pick up the story about America’s declining birth rate with a focus on the above bar graph. The writer is the race realist with the strong interest in math, John Derbyshire.
Excerpt from UNZ
What’s that? You want to know the breakdowns by race? Shame on you!
Since you ask, though, here’s a different summary of the CDC figures at the Institute for Family Studies website: Baby Bust: Fertility is Declining the Most Among Minority Women, by Lyman Stone, May 16, 2018.
That’s right. Where the Baby Bust is concerned, you can bring out the old New York Times cliché: “minorities hardest hit.” The biggest decline across the last decade has been among Hispanics, who went from 2.85 to 2.1, a drop of 36 percent.
Hispanics are the only group that are replacing themselves. The other racial groups (Jews and Asian data are not given here) are shrinking in numbers unless something changes.
Hispanics started high, though. Aborigines—American Indians and Alaska natives—started lower, with a TFR of 1.62, and dropped to 1.23 across the decade. Nobody’s sure why.
Black fertility dropped from 2.15 births per woman to 1.89. Non-Hispanic whites went from 1.95 to 1.72, a comparable drop from a somewhat lower start point.
The general decline of interest in sexual intercourse must also be playing in to these numbers somehow.
I have often reflected on how odd it has been, across my own lifetime, to see the general decline in libido all over the Western world. Fifty years ago—I was there, reader, I was there—when not one citizen in a hundred had a gym membership, and halitosis and body odor were common, and the male-female imbalance in workplaces, clubs, sports, schools was way more marked than it is today, making it harder to get to know the opposite sex; back in those benighted days—with all those disadvantages and deterrents, the people of the West were going at it like rabbits.
The young adults of today, contrariwise, with their buff bodies, perfect dentition, and daily showers, with sex segregation actually outlawed almost everywhere—heck, we even have women on submarines today—they can’t be bothered. From a report in Maxim magazine last July, based on a different set of numbers from the CDC.
Between the ages of 15 and 19, 42 percent of women and 44 percent of men reported having sex, relative to … 51 percent of women and 60 percent of men in 1988.
Derbyshire included this gif in his article. Sophia Loren in her prime:
Several news organizations have reported this story, without bringing in race, including NPR.
Their numbers show that Caucasians are still producing more babies than any single other group. Not that the numbers make the white baby the majority by very much.
Here’s how some of the 2017 numbers were reported:
All Races and Origins: 3,853,472
American Indian or Alaska Native: 29,878
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander: 9,418
If you see a white woman with three white children or more, you might want to thank her for furthering the survival of our race.
If you see a childless Latina, you might think about doing the same.